futuretoolkit.comFuture Toolkit

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Title:Future Toolkit

Description:Future Toolkit Future Toolkit The "Sentinel" tree on the Mitchell River, Bairnsdale, Victoria, before and during the June 2007 east coast low flood. Photos by Charlie Nelson and Malcolm Ross Forecasti

Keywords:forecasting, forecasting books, future trends

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Keyword Count Percentage
forecasting 16 8.26%
forecasting books 1 0.74%
future trends 0 0.00%

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Future Toolkit Future Toolkit The "Sentinel" tree on the Mitchell River, Bairnsdale, Victoria, before and during the June 2007 east coast low flood. Photos by Charlie Nelson and Malcolm Ross Forecasting books Leading indicators for consumer spending in Australia WEF Global Risks 2016 report A world of peaks Prophets Profit - articles about the future The objective of Future Toolkit is to improve the quality of decisions about the future. Developed by Charlie Nelson. Forecasting: the essential skills A new book aimed at improving forecasting accuracy. The book is about forecasting skills in two senses: Forecasting skill is a measure of the extent to which forecasts are more accurate than those produced by naive methods such as trend extrapolation. The book aims to improve skill in this sense. There is a range of skills needed by the individual or the team making forecasts and the book identifies theses skills through evaluation of forecasting performance in several fields and through case studies. The skills span a wide range including knowledge, experience, and ways of thinking. Part 1 contains a chapter on the costs of forecasting inaccuracy and seven forecasting case studies. The case studies cover new vehicle sales, retail sales, supermarket sales, the development of a leading index for household consumption growth, decadal forecasting of rainfall, using scenarios to predict an economic shock, and predicting market share loss for a monopoly when the market is opened to competition. Part 2 evaluates forecasting skill of economic and exchange rate forecasting and identifies ways to improve. Part 3 describes a range of forecasting techniques, their strengths and weaknesses, and considerations in choosing and using techniques. Part 4 discusses risk and uncertainty in forecasting, along with implications for planning. Part 5 provides extended coverage and a case study on forecasting with the Wisdom of the Masses. The case study shows the potential for the Wisdom of the Masses to forecast GDP growth more accurately than professional economists. Part 6 discusses the skills needed for improving forecasting accuracy. The book of over 120 pages is now available online. I am a statistician with over 40 years practical experience in forecasting. This page updated February 2016

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Whois Server Version 2.0 Domain names in the .com and .net domains can now be registered with many different competing registrars. Go to http://www.internic.net for detailed information. Domain Name: FUTURETOOLKIT.COM Registrar: TUCOWS DOMAINS INC. Sponsoring Registrar IANA ID: 69 Whois Server: whois.tucows.com Referral URL: http://www.tucowsdomains.com Name Server: NS1.PARTNERCONSOLE.NET Name Server: NS2.PARTNERCONSOLE.NET Name Server: NS3.PARTNERCONSOLE.NET Status: ok https://icann.org/epp#ok Updated Date: 09-sep-2015 Creation Date: 06-sep-2000 Expiration Date: 06-sep-2016 >>> Last update of whois database: Fri, 13 May 2016 20:06:52 GMT <<< For more information on Whois status codes, please visit https://icann.org/epp NOTICE: The expiration date displayed in this record is the date the registrar's sponsorship of the domain name registration in the registry is currently set to expire. This date does not necessarily reflect the expiration date of the domain name registrant's agreement with the sponsoring registrar. Users may consult the sponsoring registrar's Whois database to view the registrar's reported date of expiration for this registration. TERMS OF USE: You are not authorized to access or query our Whois database through the use of electronic processes that are high-volume and automated except as reasonably necessary to register domain names or modify existing registrations; the Data in VeriSign Global Registry Services' ("VeriSign") Whois database is provided by VeriSign for information purposes only, and to assist persons in obtaining information about or related to a domain name registration record. VeriSign does not guarantee its accuracy. By submitting a Whois query, you agree to abide by the following terms of use: You agree that you may use this Data only for lawful purposes and that under no circumstances will you use this Data to: (1) allow, enable, or otherwise support the transmission of mass unsolicited, commercial advertising or solicitations via e-mail, telephone, or facsimile; or (2) enable high volume, automated, electronic processes that apply to VeriSign (or its computer systems). The compilation, repackaging, dissemination or other use of this Data is expressly prohibited without the prior written consent of VeriSign. You agree not to use electronic processes that are automated and high-volume to access or query the Whois database except as reasonably necessary to register domain names or modify existing registrations. VeriSign reserves the right to restrict your access to the Whois database in its sole discretion to ensure operational stability. VeriSign may restrict or terminate your access to the Whois database for failure to abide by these terms of use. VeriSign reserves the right to modify these terms at any time. The Registry database contains ONLY .COM, .NET, .EDU domains and Registrars